Toluca vs Tigres UANL Preview & Prediction
The upcoming Liga MX fixture between Toluca and Tigres UANL promises to be a captivating encounter as the two sides meet with high stakes on the table. Toluca currently sits at the summit of the league standings with 37 points and a formidable goal difference of +19, showcasing a strong campaign under Mohamed Matijevich. In contrast, Tigres UANL occupies fourth place with 33 points and a goal difference of +10, reflecting a solid but slightly less consistent form. Both teams come into this match with recent draws against each other, setting the stage for a competitive battle as they look to gain an advantage in the title race.
Under the guidance of coach Mohamed Matijevich, Toluca has displayed a resilient and effective style of play, as evidenced by their recent form which includes four wins in their last five matches, only marred by a draw with Tigres. The team’s tactical approach has balanced a disciplined defense with a potent attack, contributing to their impressive +19 goal difference. Toluca’s ability to grind out results, particularly at home, has been a key factor in their top-of-the-table position. Their recent matches highlight a side that is strong in controlling games and capitalizing on critical moments, making their home ground a challenging venue for any opponent.
On the other side, Tigres UANL, coached by G. Pizarro, has experienced a more mixed run of form with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five outings. The team’s away performance reveals some vulnerabilities, having drawn twice and lost once in recent matches on the road, including a goalless stalemate against Toluca. Despite these challenges, Tigres UANL has shown resilience and creativity in attack, but their defensive lapses have occasionally cost them valuable points. The tactical setup under Pizarro aims to balance offensive ambition with defensive solidity, but the team will need to tighten up at the back to challenge the league leaders effectively.
Looking at the Toluca vs Tigres UANL head to head record over their last five completed encounters, the rivalry has been tightly contested. The teams have squared off to two draws and three matches decided by a single goal. Toluca has edged out two wins (including a recent 1-0 victory), while Tigres has claimed one narrow win, and the rest ended in stalemates. This competitive history indicates that matches between these sides are typically close affairs, often decided by fine margins and tactical discipline.
Considering the current league standings, recent form, and head-to-head history, the Toluca vs Tigres UANL prediction leans towards a home win or a draw. Toluca’s momentum, tactical coherence under Mohamed Matijevich, and home advantage make them favorites to at least secure a point, if not all three. Tigres UANL will certainly pose a threat with their attacking capabilities but may struggle to break down a well-organized Toluca defense. For bettors and fans wondering who will win Toluca vs Tigres UANL, the sensible approach is to back the hosts or a draw, reflecting the closely matched nature of these two sides.
A hot stat emerging from the data is that Toluca has remained unbeaten against Tigres in their last two matches, including a home win and a draw, underscoring their recent dominance in this fixture. This trend adds further weight to the prediction favoring Toluca to continue their strong run at home in this Liga MX clash.
Toluca vs Tigres UANL Prediction
Match: Toluca vs Tigres UANL
Kick Off: 18 May 2025, 01:00 UTC
Prediction: Home or Draw

Toluca
vs

Tigres UANL

Toluca vs Tigres UANL – Liga MX Standings
Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | ![]() |
17 | 19 | 37 |
2 | ![]() |
17 | 24 | 34 |
3 | ![]() |
17 | 10 | 33 |
4 | ![]() |
17 | 10 | 33 |
5 | ![]() |
17 | 7 | 31 |
6 | ![]() |
17 | 3 | 30 |
7 | ![]() |
17 | 9 | 28 |
8 | ![]() |
17 | 6 | 28 |
9 | ![]() |
17 | -5 | 24 |
10 | ![]() |
17 | -3 | 21 |
11 | ![]() |
17 | -3 | 21 |
12 | ![]() |
17 | -7 | 20 |
13 | ![]() |
17 | -6 | 19 |
14 | ![]() |
17 | -7 | 18 |
15 | ![]() |
17 | -13 | 18 |
16 | ![]() |
17 | -10 | 17 |
17 | ![]() |
17 | -13 | 9 |
18 | ![]() |
17 | -21 | 7 |
Toluca vs Tigres UANL Head-to-Head
Date | League | Match | Score |
---|---|---|---|
18 May 2025 | Liga MX |
![]() ![]() |
0 – 0 |
15 May 2025 | Liga MX |
![]() ![]() |
1 – 1 |
02 Feb 2025 | Liga MX |
![]() ![]() |
1 – 0 |
07 Nov 2024 | Liga MX |
![]() ![]() |
2 – 1 |
02 Mar 2024 | Liga MX |
![]() ![]() |
2 – 1 |
05 Oct 2023 | Liga MX |
![]() ![]() |
2 – 2 |
14 May 2023 | Liga MX |
![]() ![]() |
3 – 1 |
12 May 2023 | Liga MX |
![]() ![]() |
4 – 1 |
02 Apr 2023 | Liga MX |
![]() ![]() |
3 – 2 |
08 Sep 2022 | Liga MX |
![]() ![]() |
3 – 1 |