Paraguay vs Uruguay Preview & Prediction
As the World Cup – Qualification South America race intensifies, the upcoming clash between Paraguay and Uruguay promises to be a pivotal encounter. Both teams sit level on points with 21 each, but Uruguay holds the advantage in goal difference (+7 compared to Paraguay’s +2), placing them third while Paraguay is fifth. The stakes are high as these two sides look to solidify their positions and edge closer to securing their World Cup berths. Recent form reflects a competitive balance, with Paraguay boasting a strong run under coach Alfaro and Uruguay showing resilience despite some mixed results.
Paraguay, guided by Alfaro’s tactical approach, has demonstrated a commendable blend of defensive solidity and opportunistic attacking play. Their recent form highlights a team that is difficult to break down, evidenced by draws against Colombia and Bolivia and crucial wins over Chile, Argentina, and Venezuela. This suggests a well-organized squad capable of grinding out results even against tough opposition. Alfaro’s tactics appear to emphasize maintaining structure while exploiting set-piece opportunities and quick transitions, which has been instrumental in Paraguay’s ability to stay in contention. Their home advantage at this stage of qualification enhances their confidence and tactical discipline, making them a formidable opponent.
Conversely, Uruguay’s form guide reveals a team with solid defensive credentials but some challenges in converting chances, particularly away from home. With a recent draw against Brazil and a narrow loss to Argentina, Uruguay has shown the ability to compete against top-tier teams but has struggled to secure consistent wins on the road. Their away performance is characterized by a cautious approach, often prioritizing defensive organization over aggressive attacking play. While their goal difference remains healthy, indicating a capacity to score, the lack of high-scoring matches suggests a tactical emphasis on control and minimizing risks, which might limit the goal tally in this fixture.
Looking at the Paraguay vs Uruguay head to head record over their last five finished encounters, the rivalry has been tight and largely defensive. Four of the five matches ended in draws or narrow victories, with two 0-0 stalemates and three matches decided by a single goal margin, all in Uruguay’s favor. The most recent clash on September 6, 2024, ended in a goalless draw, underlining the cautious nature and tactical discipline both sides bring to this fixture. This historical pattern indicates a closely contested battle where defenses tend to dominate, setting the stage for a tactical chess match.
Considering these factors, the Paraguay vs Uruguay prediction leans toward a low-scoring affair, consistent with the teams’ recent trends and head-to-head history. The expectation is for a tightly fought match with few goals, making the under 3.5 goals market a sensible betting tip for this encounter. Both teams are likely to prioritize defensive stability, with Paraguay looking to capitalize on home advantage and Uruguay aiming to secure a valuable away point.
A hot stat to note is that in the last five head-to-head matches, three ended with zero or one goal difference, emphasizing the defensive resilience that defines this rivalry. This further supports the anticipation of a closely contested and strategically nuanced match. Fans and bettors alike should prepare for an intriguing World Cup – Qualification South America match preview where tactical discipline and defensive strength could determine the outcome.
Paraguay vs Uruguay Prediction
Match: Paraguay vs Uruguay
Kick Off: 05 Jun 2025, 23:00 UTC
Prediction: Under 3.5

Paraguay
vs

Uruguay

Paraguay vs Uruguay – World Cup – Qualification South America Standings
Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | ![]() |
14 | 18 | 31 |
2 | ![]() |
14 | 8 | 23 |
3 | ![]() |
14 | 7 | 21 |
4 | ![]() |
14 | 4 | 21 |
5 | ![]() |
14 | 2 | 21 |
6 | ![]() |
14 | 4 | 20 |
7 | ![]() |
14 | -4 | 15 |
8 | ![]() |
14 | -16 | 14 |
9 | ![]() |
14 | -11 | 10 |
10 | ![]() |
14 | -12 | 10 |
Paraguay vs Uruguay Head-to-Head
Date | League | Match | Score |
---|---|---|---|
05 Jun 2025 | World Cup – Qualification South America |
![]() ![]() |
– – – |
06 Sep 2024 | World Cup – Qualification South America |
![]() ![]() |
0 – 0 |
27 Jan 2022 | World Cup – Qualification South America |
![]() ![]() |
0 – 1 |
29 Jun 2021 | Copa America |
![]() ![]() |
1 – 0 |
03 Jun 2021 | World Cup – Qualification South America |
![]() ![]() |
0 – 0 |
06 Sep 2017 | World Cup – Qualification South America |
![]() ![]() |
1 – 2 |
06 Sep 2016 | World Cup – Qualification South America |
![]() ![]() |
4 – 0 |
20 Jun 2015 | Copa America |
![]() ![]() |
1 – 1 |