New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising Preview & Prediction
The upcoming USL Championship fixture between New Mexico United and Phoenix Rising promises to be a compelling encounter, as both sides seek to assert their positions in the league standings. New Mexico United enters this match with a mixed recent form, suffering a heavy 3-0 defeat at El Paso Locomotive in their latest outing but having secured valuable wins in prior matches, including a 1-0 victory over Monterey Bay and a solid defensive display to keep a clean sheet against North Carolina. Phoenix Rising, meanwhile, have experienced a challenging spell, including a tough 4-1 loss to Houston Dynamo in the US Open Cup and a draw away at Colorado Springs, highlighting inconsistencies in their recent performances.
Under the guidance of coach D. Sanchez, New Mexico United has showcased resilience and tactical discipline, particularly evident in their ability to grind out narrow wins and maintain defensive solidity. Despite the setback against El Paso Locomotive, the team’s recent performances reflect a balanced approach, combining defensive organization with opportunistic attacking play. Sanchez’s tactical setup has allowed New Mexico to capitalize on home advantage, making their recent form at home a crucial factor in this upcoming clash. Their ability to adapt and maintain tight control in key matches will be essential against a Phoenix side that can be vulnerable on the road.
Phoenix Rising, coached by Kah, presents a mixed form guide characterized by resilient draws and narrow defeats. Their recent away performance, including a 1-1 draw at Colorado Springs and a 1-1 draw in the US Open Cup against FC Tulsa, suggests a side that can compete but struggles to consistently secure wins on the road. Kah’s tactical approach appears to focus on maintaining structure and seeking opportunities on the counterattack; however, the team’s defensive frailties have been exposed, as seen in the heavy defeat to Houston Dynamo. The challenge for Phoenix will be to shore up their defensive weaknesses and convert their chances if they hope to challenge New Mexico United on their home turf.
Looking at the New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising head to head record, the encounters have been closely contested affairs. In the last five finished matches, New Mexico United holds a slight edge with three wins, including a recent 2-1 victory in November 2024 and a 1-0 away win back in March 2024. Phoenix Rising has managed two wins in this period, including a 2-1 triumph in October 2024 and a 3-1 victory in June 2023. This competitive history underscores the intensity and fine margins that typically define matches between these two sides, adding an extra layer of intrigue to the upcoming fixture.
Considering the recent form, tactical setups, and historical head to head results, the New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising prediction leans towards a home win or a draw. New Mexico’s ability to perform strongly at home under coach D. Sanchez and their favorable recent head to head record provide them with a slight advantage. Meanwhile, Phoenix Rising’s inconsistencies and defensive vulnerabilities on the road suggest they may struggle to secure a win in this encounter. This matchup is likely to be tightly contested, with New Mexico United expected to either take all three points or share spoils.
A hot stat to note is that New Mexico United has kept clean sheets in three of their last five USL Championship matches, indicating their defensive strength—a key factor that could influence the outcome of this game. Fans and bettors looking for New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising betting tips should weigh this defensive solidity alongside Phoenix’s recent away form when considering their options. Overall, this USL Championship match preview points to a fiercely competitive game with New Mexico United holding the upper hand.
New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising Prediction
Match: New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising
Kick Off: 11 May 2025, 01:00 UTC
Prediction: Home or Draw

New Mexico United
vs

Phoenix Rising

New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising – USL Championship Standings
Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | ![]() |
8 | 6 | 18 |
2 | ![]() |
7 | 8 | 17 |
3 | ![]() |
7 | 6 | 15 |
4 | ![]() |
8 | 4 | 15 |
5 | ![]() |
9 | 2 | 14 |
6 | ![]() |
7 | -3 | 7 |
7 | ![]() |
7 | -4 | 7 |
8 | ![]() |
6 | -1 | 6 |
9 | ![]() |
7 | -3 | 6 |
10 | ![]() |
6 | -3 | 5 |
11 | ![]() |
7 | -4 | 4 |
12 | ![]() |
6 | -7 | 3 |
New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising Head-to-Head
Date | League | Match | Score |
---|---|---|---|
05 Oct 2025 | USL Championship |
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– – – |
01 Jun 2025 | USL League One Cup |
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– – – |
11 May 2025 | USL Championship |
![]() ![]() |
– – – |
04 Nov 2024 | USL Championship |
![]() ![]() |
2 – 1 |
10 Oct 2024 | USL Championship |
![]() ![]() |
1 – 2 |
31 Mar 2024 | USL Championship |
![]() ![]() |
0 – 1 |
08 Oct 2023 | USL Championship |
![]() ![]() |
1 – 2 |
22 Jun 2023 | USL Championship |
![]() ![]() |
1 – 3 |
27 Apr 2023 | US Open Cup |
![]() ![]() |
2 – 1 |
25 May 2022 | USL Championship |
![]() ![]() |
7 – 0 |