CF Montreal vs Toronto FC Preview & Prediction
The upcoming Major League Soccer fixture between CF Montreal and Toronto FC promises to be a compelling encounter as both teams look to climb the standings. Currently sitting 15th with 7 points and a goal difference of -10, CF Montreal enters this match seeking to improve on a mixed recent run of results, reflected in their form of DWLLD. Just above them in 14th place, Toronto FC holds 10 points and a slightly better goal difference of -7, with a form guide showing some inconsistency but flashes of promise in recent matches. This CF Montreal vs Toronto FC preview will explore the tactical nuances, recent performances, and head-to-head dynamics that could shape the outcome of this rivalry.
Under the guidance of coach Donadel, CF Montreal has shown resilience but also vulnerability in defense, as indicated by their negative goal difference and results. Their recent form includes a hard-fought 1-1 draw against Columbus Crew and a narrow 1-0 victory away at New York City FC, highlighting their ability to grind out results. However, losses to Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls reveal defensive frailties that opponents have exploited. Tactically, Donadel’s side appears to focus on compactness and counterattacks, but the lack of consistent goal-scoring has hindered their climb up the table. The team’s recent performances suggest a need to tighten defensive organization while capitalizing more effectively on scoring opportunities.
Toronto FC, led by coach Fraser, has experienced a rollercoaster of form, with a recent sequence marked by a home defeat to FC Cincinnati and a solid 2-0 win over DC United. Their away performance has been somewhat inconsistent but shows potential, especially considering their ability to secure a 2-2 draw against CF Montreal in the Canadian Championship just weeks ago. Fraser’s tactical setup seems to emphasize a balanced approach, with an eye on controlling midfield and exploiting set-pieces, though lapses at the back have contributed to their negative goal difference. Toronto FC’s form guide suggests they can be dangerous on their day but need to improve defensive solidity to convert draws and narrow losses into wins.
Looking at the CF Montreal vs Toronto FC head to head record over their last five finished encounters, the rivalry has been closely contested with a mix of results. The most recent league meeting ended in a 1-1 draw, while Toronto FC narrowly won 1-0 at Montreal in July 2024. Notably, Toronto secured a commanding 5-1 victory in May 2024, though Montreal edged out a 3-2 win in August 2023 and a 2-0 victory in May 2023. This back-and-forth pattern underscores the competitive nature of their clashes, with both teams capable of turning the tide on any given day.
Given the tactical considerations, recent form, and historical encounters, the CF Montreal vs Toronto FC prediction leans towards a match featuring under 3.5 goals. Both teams have struggled to consistently find the net while maintaining defensive discipline, suggesting a tightly contested game with limited scoring opportunities. Fans and bettors looking for CF Montreal vs Toronto FC betting tips should consider the likelihood of a low-scoring affair where tactical caution and defensive resilience will be paramount.
A hot stat to note from their recent meetings is that the last five finished matches between these sides have featured a combined total of just 11 goals, averaging just over two goals per game. This trend supports the expectation of a closely fought battle with few goals, enhancing the appeal of the under 3.5 goals prediction in this Major League Soccer match preview.
CF Montreal vs Toronto FC Prediction
Match: CF Montreal vs Toronto FC
Kick Off: 17 May 2025, 18:30 UTC
Prediction: Under 3.5

CF Montreal
vs

Toronto FC

CF Montreal vs Toronto FC – Major League Soccer Standings
Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | ![]() |
13 | 4 | 28 |
2 | ![]() |
13 | 12 | 26 |
3 | ![]() |
13 | 8 | 26 |
4 | ![]() |
13 | 8 | 23 |
5 | ![]() |
12 | 6 | 22 |
6 | ![]() |
13 | 8 | 21 |
7 | ![]() |
13 | 3 | 19 |
8 | ![]() |
13 | 5 | 18 |
9 | ![]() |
13 | -1 | 18 |
10 | ![]() |
11 | 2 | 17 |
11 | ![]() |
12 | -3 | 16 |
12 | ![]() |
13 | -12 | 13 |
13 | ![]() |
13 | -9 | 11 |
14 | ![]() |
13 | -7 | 10 |
15 | ![]() |
13 | -10 | 7 |
CF Montreal vs Toronto FC Head-to-Head
Date | League | Match | Score |
---|---|---|---|
30 Aug 2025 | Major League Soccer |
![]() ![]() |
– – – |
17 May 2025 | Major League Soccer |
![]() ![]() |
– – – |
30 Apr 2025 | Canadian Championship |
![]() ![]() |
2 – 2 |
20 Jul 2024 | Major League Soccer |
![]() ![]() |
0 – 1 |
18 May 2024 | Major League Soccer |
![]() ![]() |
5 – 1 |
20 Aug 2023 | Major League Soccer |
![]() ![]() |
2 – 3 |
13 May 2023 | Major League Soccer |
![]() ![]() |
2 – 0 |
09 May 2023 | Canadian Championship |
![]() ![]() |
1 – 2 |
04 Sep 2022 | Major League Soccer |
![]() ![]() |
3 – 4 |
16 Jul 2022 | Major League Soccer |
![]() ![]() |
1 – 0 |